Collection of articles on specific topics.

Probabilistic Time-Series Analysis and Forecasting

Many consider forecasting to be just a regression problem with lagged observations as features. Therefore, point forecasts are often the cookie cutter approach as they are in cross-sectional problems.

I tend to disagree with this notion and hence write quite a bit about the issues of point forecasts:

GARCH-type models

Probably the most important classical time-series model for dealing with stock-price returns.

More Time-Series Analysis

A bin for ideas that are occasionally popping up - not necessarily complete or work in progress.